BetAngel

Further usage of historical data and football.

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


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Further to my recent video on historical data and football, I thought we would start right at the beginning on footy to show you where you should start.

The first place, as you will learn later, is to work out roughly how many goals you think will be scored.

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


I’ve noticed a lot more comments on the videos recently and I’d like more.

I know just about everything about the market, but just function naturally on a day to day basis and don’t think much about what I do or the accumulated knowledge I have.

So it’s great to get a prod from viewers on what you are interested in, what you like and what you would like me to talk about.

While it takes a little time sometimes to get a video up, I’m happy to read comments, suggestions and the like so I can go in a direction viewers want to travel.

Please let me know where you want me to go!

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


Just as the title says…..

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


It’s often with amusement that I look at some of the soccer stats that roll of the media each Saturday.

99% of them are pretty useless in assessing what will happen in a match. I have spent years researching all different aspects of football but a couple of key stats stick out like a sore thumb at giving you a decent level of insight into a match before it has started.

It’s important to note that football is very variable by nature, so every prediction has a large standard deviation. But over the long term that averages out. I’ll probably explain this more as we move through the season.

You see a similar thing in other sports.

Make sure you also read this blog post: -

http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2014/…

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


Somebody made a really good point on the first directional scalping video I did asking if it could be automated.

You can actually automate your entire Betfair trading on Bet Angel. But you can also use semi-automated features to aid you in your trading especially with this strategy.

I explore that and the global settings editor on Bet Angel in this video. Thanks for the suggestion!

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


I’ve had a decent week this week and it was helped by lots of markets that looked very similar to this one.

There were quite a few markets this week that exhibited persistent backing patterns. So I hopped on the trend on a few races to make the most of it.

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


Scalping is a popular Betfair trading pastime on the exchanges but has got trickier in recent years.

However, you can still profit if you insert a directional bias into your trades and stick with it, that’s what I’m doing in this video.

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


Once a year in Ireland there is a unique race, they race on the beach. The only race in Europe run under rules on a beach.

I became really interested in visiting this unique racecourse and I so I went there a couple of years ago to have a look.

This is my story of that trip and what I found at the incredibly appropriately named ‘Laytown’

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


The St Leger meeting is a highlight at the start of September, it also marks the tail-off of the flat turf season.

If you are trading on Betfair after this meeting takes place there is traditionally a wobble in the market as we shift to the jumps season.

This video discusses that and the St Leger meeting which is a stand out on the racing card.

Jumping in and out of a match may be fun, but it makes sense to set up an idea of what you are trying to achieve and then framing your trade and the risk and reward around that outcome.

I use some small stakes in this video to explain how I frame a trade on an expected outcome. Tennis trader is useful for doing this as it can point you to roughly where the odds could be given a variety of scenarios and you trade inside that.

If you are learning how Tennis markets work I suggest you follow a similar pattern with small stakes and you will soon get an idea of what position you may want to take in a match.

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


Seeing the problems with heat and humidity this week at the US Open reminded me that I’d never really discussed or covered weather before and it’s effect in sport. I think perhaps I have in Golf?

But aside from heat and humidity there are other factors that effect a player when they are playing Tennis.

If you are trading Tennis on Betfair then taking into account these factors can help you spot opportunities or get out of trouble!

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


Here is an interesting trade I dug up this week from the archives.

A large order appears in the market and I trade it. This is a fairly standard type of trade when a large order hits the market.

If it’s ‘real’ then you can trade against it. On this occasion, it didn’t really go my way and I hung around too late.

But it’s a good illustration of how to get in and out of a market that exhibits this type of behaviour.

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


What does it take to be a good trader?

I think there are three things, but that’s another video that’s current in production. But essentially, at a top level, there is no particular trait or style that suits one person over another.

There is tons of room in the market for everybody and, in fact, being too clever actually appears to be a hinderance.

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


I’ve been digging through my archives and found this interesting video for you.

It’s a much longer term video of the market.

Most of the activity when trading horse racing on Betfair comes very late on. Again you can see that in this video. But I’ll often skip a race or two in front to see what is happening.

On this video, you can see I spot a point of interest in the market before coming back to trade on it and rely on it for some support in the market.

Incidentally, it’s not £6k matched as I say in the video, as Betfair double count volume, it’s £3k. But it’s still an interesting point to look at.

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


One curiosity that came out of my P&L for a number of years, has been how much better I trade on Monday evenings.

I had a suspicion that there was something more to it than my betfair trading ability so recently I went to the racecourse to find out.

I suspected that punters betting on-course and the bookmakers using software may have something to do with it. I’d known for some time that hedging strategies on-course can drive additional volume to the exchange.

This video is linked to this blog post – http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2016/08/16/monday-evenings-windsor-racing/

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


Slight diversion, but I felt this may be topical and interesting.

It’s related to the comments I had about football the other week. It seems money buys success in most sports. Including the Olympics.

I put some illustrations in with actual numbers as I was trying to remember them off the top of my head. So sorry if I say one thing and the chart says the other. The chart is correct!

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


In this video I discuss the off-season in football and what I’ve learnt from previous analysis on how this season is likely to pan out.

Last season was a bit crazy so the statistician in me thinks and would bet on a reversion to mean this year.

Here’s a link to the other video discussed here:

http://greenuptv.com/where-will-my-team-finish-in-the-premier-league/

So if you want additional information and detail I can’t show in this video, please visit that link.

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


I’ve taken a lot of questions about how I started and various other parts of my trading career. So I decided to answer them all in one video!

The whole video is scattered with little nuggets of information, like how I made the jump to full-time trading, how Bet Angel was created, how I left my job, what happened after I did that and what I first did on Betfair and how I figured out how to trade.

Some of this will probably resonate with a lot of viewers and where they are in their trading career.

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


Interesting horse racing trade from this week

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


After months of research, you start a new strategy and it plunges to a loss instantly and you abandon it. What went wrong?

Perhaps nothing? In this video I discuss how I construct and test a strategy to see if it’s working and if I can increase stakes.

I’ve used the same method for years to measure and scale strategies and to work out when they start to fail.

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


I often get sent betfair trading or betting systems to look at and analyse and a couple of weeks ago I got dragged kicking and screaming into a debate about a system that couldn’t possibly work.

I’ve got a great video linked up for you on a similar line in a few weeks. It’s a cracker!

However, in this video I try and explain why wasting money on systems doesn’t make sense. Not only financially, but in the modern betting markets, there really is no sense in why you wouldn’t use and scale a formulaic approach yourself.

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


I’ve have shown videos of good trades, losses and a variety of other things. So while browsing videos to upload this weekend I found this.

It’s unusual in that’s it’s a market I don’t really have a strong opinion on, but I have a go anyhow.

Really you should look for a set and get involved around that set-up and trade it. Here I am trying to look for something that isn’t there and that’s what I find.

I compare it to asking a dog to do something and it refusing. I think it was an interesting example

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


When the summer racing is on, especially around key race meetings and days of the week I do a mad dash when the afternoon racing transitions into the evening!

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


Goodwood is one of the big racing festivals of the year. But it’s not quite the same as other meetings that you may have traded on Betfair. It’s quite mixed up so if you want some tips, that’s what I’ll aim to do in this video.

So if you trading on horse racing this meeting will feel a bit different. But the good thing is that whether you like big, small or medium races. There will be one for you at Goodwood.

Not only that we have a week long Festival in Galway. That usually produces some opportunities as well.

It should be a fun trading week.

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


After a really busy spell, I took advantage recently of the slight lull in sporting action, to take a (working) break.

Here is where I went and why I decided to go there and some tips that you may consider before you choose a location to visit.

Once arrived I could fire up my laptop and not only get down to some trading on Betfair, but also enjoy the local sites, culture and activities.

I left the UK when the weather was miserable, so I thought I’d bring the good weather back with me :)

#livingthedream

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)


I learnt a trick sometime ago about how to win a game that you are struggling to win. It turns out you can use the same thing when trading and that’s what I started doing when I was learning to trade Betfair.

I learnt to play the losers game.

Greenuptv have teamed up with BetAngel to give you 14 days free access to the full professional version of the software and the new Betangel Trader edition too (details here)